Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval
10.12
72
10.14
74
Western Bulldogs won by 2 points
IN
Watkins
Marshall
OUT
IN
Smith
Hynes
Baker
Budarick
Davidson
Vandermeer
Dolan
Emmett
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.2 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.8 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.2 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.4 | -0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.23 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.8 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.