Fremantle v Hawthorn
Perth Stadium
12.16
88
11.7
73
Fremantle won by 15 points
IN
McVee
Sharp
OUT
IN
Ryan
Ramsden
Butler
Scrimshaw
Dear
Maginness
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.02 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 13.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.9 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.9 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.7 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.