Gold Coast v St Kilda
2026-05-09 19:10:00 +10:00
Marrara Oval

13.11

89

8.12

60

Gold Coast won by 29 points

IN

Jepson

Clohesy

OUT

IN

Byrnes

Wilson

Wanganeen-Milera

Butler

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	11 points	✓	17.9	0.35
Aggregate		63%	11 points	✓	17.7	0.33
		80%	26 points	✓	3.1	0.68
		74%	22 points	✓	7.0	0.56
		72%	18 points	✓	10.5	0.52
		71%	15 points	✓	14.1	0.51
		70%	17 points	✓	11.7	0.48
Punters		69%	17 points	✓	12.5	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	13.1	0.47
		68%	13 points	✓	16.0	0.44
		67%	20 points	✓	9.0	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	13.7	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	16.3	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	15.0	0.38
		64%	11 points	✓	17.6	0.36
		64%	7 points	✓	22.0	0.35
		64%	11 points	✓	17.8	0.35
		63%	10 points	✓	19.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	18.1	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	18.0	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	19.0	0.29
		61%	8 points	✓	20.7	0.28
		59%	7 points	✓	22.1	0.23
		59%	9 points	✓	20.5	0.23
		59%	6 points	✓	23.5	0.23
		57%	11 points	✓	18.3	0.19
		54%	6 points	✓	23.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	26.4	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	27.0	0.06
		50%	0 points	✓	28.6	0.01
		52%	1 point	✗	30.0	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.