Geelong v Collingwood
2026-05-09 19:35:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

18.14

122

9.14

68

Geelong won by 54 points

IN

Stanley

Edwards

OUT

IN

McCreery

Howe

Pendlebury

Perryman

Parker

Hayes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	9 points	✓	44.7	0.30
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	46.5	0.24
		76%	23 points	✓	31.1	0.61
		74%	23 points	✓	30.8	0.57
		69%	14 points	✓	40.5	0.45
Punters		66%	14 points	✓	40.4	0.40
		66%	11 points	✓	43.1	0.39
		64%	10 points	✓	43.6	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	43.0	0.34
		62%	11 points	✓	43.0	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	44.6	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	44.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	44.1	0.31
		60%	7 points	✓	47.0	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	45.5	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	46.6	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	47.0	0.24
		58%	11 points	✓	43.0	0.22
		58%	9 points	✓	45.0	0.21
		58%	12 points	✓	42.0	0.21
		57%	5 points	✓	48.6	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	47.0	0.19
		56%	1 point	✓	53.0	0.15
		54%	4 points	✓	50.1	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	50.5	0.12
		50%	0 points	✗	54.2	-0.01
		50%	1 point	✗	55.4	-0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	54.6	-0.02
		51%	1 point	✗	55.2	-0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	56.4	-0.07
		54%	4 points	✗	58.0	-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.