Western Bulldogs v Essendon
2026-04-05 19:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

14.15

99

9.11

65

Western Bulldogs won by 34 points

IN

Jones

Dolan

McNeil

Richards

Liberatore

Hynes

OUT

IN

Edwards

Caddy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		94%	52 points	✓	17.7	0.91
Aggregate		90%	49 points	✓	15.0	0.85
		99%	61 points	✓	27.5	0.98
		99%	73 points	✓	39.1	0.98
Punters		97%	74 points	✓	39.8	0.96
		97%	70 points	✓	36.0	0.96
		96%	65 points	✓	30.6	0.94
		95%	52 points	✓	18.0	0.93
		95%	57 points	✓	23.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	10.0	0.93
		95%	54 points	✓	20.4	0.92
		95%	58 points	✓	24.4	0.92
		94%	52 points	✓	18.0	0.92
		94%	34 points	✓	0.5	0.91
		92%	54 points	✓	19.6	0.88
		90%	65 points	✓	31.0	0.85
		90%	44 points	✓	9.6	0.85
		90%	43 points	✓	9.4	0.85
		90%	42 points	✓	7.6	0.85
		89%	45 points	✓	11.4	0.84
		89%	40 points	✓	5.8	0.84
		89%	51 points	✓	16.9	0.83
		88%	43 points	✓	8.9	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	8.0	0.81
		86%	39 points	✓	4.9	0.78
		83%	41 points	✓	6.7	0.73
		83%	31 points	✓	3.0	0.72
		69%	31 points	✓	3.2	0.47
		62%	18 points	✓	16.0	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.