Melbourne v Gold Coast
M.C.G.
16.13
109
14.5
89
Melbourne won by 20 points
IN
Laurie
Melksham
Turner
Fritsch
Jiath
Cross
OUT
IN
Gulbin
Walter
Rowell
Petracca
Humphrey
Davies
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.51 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.38 |
|
|
78% | 15 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -1.16 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.88 |
|
|
72% | 16 points | ✗ | 35.9 | -0.85 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 39.7 | -0.82 |
|
Punters
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.78 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.4 | -0.76 |
|
|
69% | 21 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.8 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 14 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 18 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.8 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.13 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.