North Melbourne v Carlton
Docklands
14.12
96
13.8
86
North Melbourne won by 10 points
IN
Banch
Darling
Xerri
Dovaston
OUT
IN
Derksen
Boyd
Newman
Cerra
Williams
Chesser
Dean
O'Keeffe
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.2 | -0.28 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
67% | 20 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 20.9 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 20.7 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 17.7 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.32 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.18 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
53% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.