Richmond v Port Adelaide
2026-04-04 16:15:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

6.12

48

13.12

90

Port Adelaide won by 42 points

IN

Fawcett

Ryan

McAuliffe

Broad

Balta

Ralphsmith

Armstrong

Alger

OUT

IN

Zadow

Bergman

Wines

Ratugolea

Mead

Brodie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	10 points	✓	32.1	0.31
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	32.8	0.27
		82%	27 points	✓	14.9	0.72
		72%	19 points	✓	23.1	0.52
Punters		68%	16 points	✓	26.4	0.45
		67%	21 points	✓	21.0	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	26.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	28.2	0.40
		64%	10 points	✓	32.5	0.35
		63%	9 points	✓	33.0	0.34
		63%	19 points	✓	23.0	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	29.0	0.33
		62%	8 points	✓	33.6	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	30.9	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	33.2	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	33.0	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	33.1	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	32.7	0.24
		59%	6 points	✓	35.7	0.23
		58%	6 points	✓	35.7	0.22
		57%	6 points	✓	36.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	36.0	0.19
		56%	6 points	✓	36.1	0.16
		54%	5 points	✓	37.0	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	39.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	39.0	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	39.6	0.08
		51%	1 point	✗	43.2	-0.02
		64%	12 points	✗	53.5	-0.48

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.