Adelaide v Fremantle
Adelaide Oval
11.10
76
11.12
78
Fremantle won by 2 points
IN
Borlase
Walker
O'Brien
Dawson
Fogarty
Cumming
Nankervis
Butts
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.2 | -0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.9 | -0.23 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 21.8 | -0.90 |
|
|
72% | 28 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.83 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.63 |
|
|
65% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.2 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 15.1 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.44 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.18 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.