Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
2026-04-02 19:30:00 +11:00
Gabba

17.17

119

10.5

65

Brisbane Lions won by 54 points

IN

Joyce

Tunstill

Answerth

Gardiner

OUT

IN

Hayes

Allan

Sullivan

Daicos

Pendlebury

Moore

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	18 points	✓	35.9	0.50
Aggregate		68%	16 points	✓	37.5	0.45
		79%	27 points	✓	26.9	0.66
		79%	24 points	✓	30.0	0.66
Punters		78%	24 points	✓	29.6	0.64
		76%	25 points	✓	29.0	0.61
		75%	24 points	✓	30.4	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	32.2	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	29.0	0.58
		74%	28 points	✓	25.8	0.57
		72%	21 points	✓	32.5	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	35.2	0.53
		71%	18 points	✓	36.0	0.51
		70%	16 points	✓	38.2	0.49
		70%	22 points	✓	32.2	0.48
		67%	14 points	✓	40.3	0.42
		67%	17 points	✓	37.0	0.42
		66%	5 points	✓	49.0	0.41
		65%	11 points	✓	43.0	0.39
		65%	10 points	✓	43.8	0.37
		65%	13 points	✓	40.8	0.37
		65%	11 points	✓	42.8	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	42.0	0.36
		62%	19 points	✓	35.5	0.32
		61%	9 points	✓	45.3	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	45.0	0.24
		57%	9 points	✓	45.0	0.18
		56%	9 points	✓	45.0	0.16
		53%	2 points	✓	51.8	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.