Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium
5.14
44
15.11
101
Brisbane Lions won by 57 points
IN
Wagner
Dudley
OUT
IN
Beecken
Day
Starcevich
Lester
Robertson
Smith
McLachlan
Doedee
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 59.7 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.2 | -0.14 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 74.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 69.3 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 65.2 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 64.3 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 3 points | ✗ | 60.5 | -0.23 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 62.9 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 62.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 60.9 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 60.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 58.3 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 58.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 4 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 57.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 56.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 54.7 | 0.07 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 51.1 | 0.20 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 48.9 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.