Sydney v Geelong
2025-08-17 15:15:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

10.8

68

16.15

111

Geelong won by 43 points

IN

Ladhams

Hayward

Grundy

McInerney

OUT

IN

Martin

Dangerfield

Clark

Knevitt

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	19 points	✓	24.0	0.49
Aggregate		69%	18 points	✓	25.2	0.46
		83%	29 points	✓	13.6	0.74
		81%	30 points	✓	13.5	0.70
		80%	32 points	✓	11.0	0.68
		76%	25 points	✓	18.0	0.60
		76%	21 points	✓	22.1	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	18.8	0.59
		75%	21 points	✓	21.9	0.58
		72%	20 points	✓	23.1	0.53
		72%	24 points	✓	19.0	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	22.1	0.52
Punters		71%	19 points	✓	23.6	0.51
		71%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.51
		69%	17 points	✓	26.0	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	27.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	25.5	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	26.5	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	27.2	0.43
		67%	11 points	✓	32.1	0.42
		66%	16 points	✓	26.9	0.39
		65%	15 points	✓	28.2	0.38
		64%	18 points	✓	25.0	0.35
		61%	11 points	✓	31.8	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	32.1	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	34.0	0.26
		51%	1 point	✓	41.8	0.03
		50%	0 points	✓	43.0	0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.