Hawthorn v Melbourne
2025-08-16 16:15:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

13.14

92

8.8

56

Hawthorn won by 36 points

IN

Sharp

May

Windsor

Adams

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	15 points	✓	20.6	0.43
Aggregate		67%	16 points	✓	20.3	0.42
		83%	31 points	✓	5.0	0.73
		76%	22 points	✓	14.5	0.59
Punters		75%	20 points	✓	15.8	0.58
		74%	17 points	✓	19.0	0.57
		71%	27 points	✓	9.0	0.51
		70%	19 points	✓	17.0	0.49
		70%	21 points	✓	15.1	0.48
		68%	19 points	✓	17.4	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	22.0	0.45
		68%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	21.5	0.43
		66%	17 points	✓	19.2	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	22.4	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	23.0	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	17.0	0.38
		65%	8 points	✓	28.4	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	22.1	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	22.9	0.37
		65%	11 points	✓	25.0	0.37
		64%	14 points	✓	22.0	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	24.4	0.34
		62%	11 points	✓	25.3	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	24.0	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	25.7	0.30
		60%	8 points	✓	27.7	0.27
		59%	9 points	✓	26.7	0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.