Gold Coast v Greater Western Sydney
Carrara
11.10
76
17.9
111
Greater Western Sydney won by 35 points
IN
Sexton
Flanders
Humphrey
Rosas
OUT
IN
Wehr
Stringer
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -0.52 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 50.7 | -0.62 |
|
|
80% | 26 points | ✗ | 60.5 | -1.34 |
|
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 61.9 | -1.14 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
75% | 20 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 56.7 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 58.3 | -0.91 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 54.9 | -0.87 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 56.1 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 55.8 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 51.4 | -0.78 |
|
Punters
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 51.6 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 53.8 | -0.73 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 52.8 | -0.72 |
|
|
68% | 10 points | ✗ | 45.3 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
66% | 21 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 51.6 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -0.54 |
|
|
62% | 16 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 42.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 1 point | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 38.2 | -0.10 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.