Carlton v Port Adelaide
2025-08-16 13:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

18.10

118

9.10

64

Carlton won by 54 points

IN

Walsh

White

OUT

IN

Jones

Lukosius

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	12 points	✓	41.6	0.37
Aggregate		65%	13 points	✓	40.8	0.38
		76%	25 points	✓	29.2	0.59
		74%	20 points	✓	34.0	0.56
		71%	16 points	✓	37.9	0.50
		70%	20 points	✓	34.4	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	35.7	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	36.6	0.47
		69%	17 points	✓	37.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	37.8	0.46
		69%	14 points	✓	39.9	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	39.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	37.8	0.44
Punters		68%	14 points	✓	39.9	0.44
		65%	14 points	✓	39.8	0.39
		64%	18 points	✓	36.0	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	40.4	0.36
		64%	6 points	✓	47.5	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	42.0	0.33
		61%	11 points	✓	42.6	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	44.0	0.29
		61%	7 points	✓	47.5	0.28
		60%	14 points	✓	40.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	44.8	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	46.0	0.21
		58%	1 point	✓	53.0	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	47.0	0.19
		52%	2 points	✓	52.0	0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.