Adelaide v Collingwood
2025-08-16 19:35:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

9.5

59

8.8

56

Adelaide won by 3 points

IN

Schoenberg

Murphy

Smith

Walker

Laird

Jones

Pedlar

Burgess

OUT

IN

Parker

Allan

McCreery

Howe

Hoskin-Elliott

Mitchell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	14 points	✓	10.9	0.41
Aggregate		68%	16 points	✓	13.2	0.44
		77%	27 points	✓	24.0	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	24.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	22.2	0.60
		76%	33 points	✓	30.0	0.59
		74%	13 points	✓	9.7	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	20.0	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	16.9	0.55
		72%	17 points	✓	14.3	0.53
		72%	17 points	✓	13.5	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	14.0	0.48
		69%	15 points	✓	11.9	0.47
		69%	17 points	✓	14.5	0.46
		67%	17 points	✓	14.4	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	11.9	0.41
		67%	14 points	✓	11.2	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	11.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	11.3	0.40
Punters		66%	13 points	✓	10.0	0.40
		64%	15 points	✓	11.8	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	8.5	0.34
		63%	17 points	✓	14.0	0.33
		62%	1 point	✓	2.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	8.0	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	7.7	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	6.0	0.27
		57%	7 points	✓	4.4	0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.