Essendon v St Kilda
2025-08-15 19:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.9

75

11.11

77

St Kilda won by 2 points

IN

Unwin

El-Hawli

Langford

Merrett

Shiel

May

OUT

IN

Dodson

Travaglia

Collard

Clark

Henry

Heath

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	17 points	✓	14.8	0.43
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	15.1	0.45
		84%	33 points	✓	30.5	0.74
Punters		81%	30 points	✓	27.9	0.70
		81%	26 points	✓	24.3	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	28.0	0.68
		76%	28 points	✓	26.0	0.60
		76%	23 points	✓	21.0	0.60
		73%	21 points	✓	18.6	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	20.1	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	17.9	0.52
		72%	16 points	✓	13.7	0.52
		69%	21 points	✓	19.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	15.0	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	15.5	0.45
		68%	17 points	✓	15.5	0.45
		67%	13 points	✓	11.2	0.43
		66%	13 points	✓	11.3	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	10.3	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	11.7	0.35
		61%	12 points	✓	9.6	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.28
		61%	13 points	✓	11.0	0.28
		61%	8 points	✓	5.5	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	7.0	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	8.3	0.26
		55%	6 points	✓	4.0	0.14
		53%	3 points	✓	0.6	0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.