Adelaide v Gold Coast
2025-07-20 16:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

16.11

107

6.10

46

Adelaide won by 61 points

IN

Pedlar

Murray

Butts

Cook

OUT

IN

Jepson

Lombard

Miller

Weller

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	21 points	✓	40.0	0.54
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	41.0	0.51
		86%	36 points	✓	25.4	0.78
		84%	41 points	✓	20.0	0.75
		84%	33 points	✓	27.6	0.74
		82%	28 points	✓	33.2	0.72
		78%	23 points	✓	38.1	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	35.2	0.61
Punters		75%	21 points	✓	40.2	0.58
		74%	25 points	✓	36.0	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	37.8	0.57
		73%	22 points	✓	38.5	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	39.7	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	39.4	0.55
		71%	19 points	✓	42.0	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	41.0	0.51
		70%	15 points	✓	46.5	0.48
		69%	24 points	✓	37.0	0.47
		68%	11 points	✓	50.1	0.45
		68%	20 points	✓	41.0	0.44
		66%	15 points	✓	46.5	0.40
		66%	10 points	✓	51.0	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	49.1	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	50.0	0.34
		62%	12 points	✓	48.8	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	49.6	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	52.4	0.28
		60%	11 points	✓	50.4	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.