Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs
Gabba
12.14
86
12.4
76
Brisbane Lions won by 10 points
IN
Marshall
Reville
Bailey
Answerth
OUT
IN
Cleary
McNeil
Jones
Coffield
Dolan
Hynes
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.06 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.50 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.42 |
|
|
66% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.30 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.23 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 9.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.8 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.8 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.8 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.43 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.