Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
2025-07-17 19:30:00 +10:00
Docklands

7.14

56

16.8

104

Greater Western Sydney won by 48 points

IN

McMahon

Visentini

Guelfi

Shiel

Perkins

Gresham

Martin

Goldstein

Hobbs

Setterfield

Caddy

Tsatas

OUT

IN

Gruzewski

McMullin

Coniglio

Kelly

Hogan

Thomas

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	20 points	✓	27.6	0.52
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	28.3	0.50
Punters		88%	42 points	✓	5.7	0.82
		85%	32 points	✓	16.0	0.77
		79%	27 points	✓	21.5	0.65
		77%	22 points	✓	25.8	0.63
		77%	30 points	✓	18.0	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	22.0	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	22.4	0.62
		77%	23 points	✓	25.5	0.61
		75%	24 points	✓	23.8	0.58
		75%	17 points	✓	30.8	0.58
		74%	25 points	✓	23.0	0.57
		71%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.51
		71%	16 points	✓	31.6	0.50
		71%	19 points	✓	29.3	0.50
		69%	16 points	✓	31.7	0.46
		68%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.44
		68%	22 points	✓	26.0	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	33.2	0.42
		67%	18 points	✓	30.5	0.42
		67%	13 points	✓	35.3	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	33.1	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	33.8	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	33.4	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	37.0	0.34
		54%	3 points	✓	44.6	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	44.4	0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.