Hawthorn v Port Adelaide
2025-07-19 13:20:00 +10:00
York Park

13.9

87

7.7

49

Hawthorn won by 38 points

IN

Macdonald

Lewis

Scrimshaw

Chol

Mackenzie

Jiath

OUT

IN

Williams

Evans

Mead

Rozee

Horne-Francis

Rioli

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	23 points	✓	15.5	0.55
Aggregate		74%	23 points	✓	14.7	0.57
		86%	33 points	✓	5.3	0.78
Punters		86%	32 points	✓	5.8	0.78
		83%	32 points	✓	6.3	0.73
		83%	28 points	✓	10.0	0.73
		81%	32 points	✓	6.4	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	8.1	0.68
		79%	30 points	✓	8.0	0.66
		78%	24 points	✓	13.8	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	11.8	0.63
		76%	24 points	✓	14.0	0.61
		76%	21 points	✓	17.5	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	13.4	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	13.0	0.58
		75%	24 points	✓	13.6	0.58
		74%	16 points	✓	21.8	0.57
		74%	26 points	✓	12.0	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	15.1	0.56
		74%	30 points	✓	8.0	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	15.9	0.54
		72%	23 points	✓	14.8	0.52
		71%	18 points	✓	20.0	0.50
		67%	17 points	✓	20.6	0.41
		64%	12 points	✓	25.7	0.36
		64%	17 points	✓	21.0	0.35
		60%	11 points	✓	27.4	0.27
		53%	5 points	✓	33.0	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.