Collingwood v Fremantle
M.C.G.
11.12
78
12.7
79
Fremantle won by 1 point
IN
Dean
Allan
Mihocek
McCreery
Lipinski
Houston
Howe
Membrey
Mitchell
Steele
OUT
IN
Young
Dudley
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.78 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.71 |
|
|
84% | 35 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -1.65 |
|
|
81% | 32 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -1.38 |
|
|
76% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -1.04 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.98 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 13 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.96 |
|
|
73% | 14 points | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.90 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.88 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.88 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 27 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.81 |
|
Punters
|
|
71% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.70 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.68 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.