Carlton v Melbourne
M.C.G.
12.6
78
10.10
70
Carlton won by 8 points
IN
White
Evans
Saad
McGovern
Cincotta
Fantasia
OUT
IN
Sharp
May
Lever
Sparrow
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.21 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 15.2 | -0.26 |
|
|
77% | 19 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -1.09 |
|
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 19.7 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.52 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 13.6 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.