Geelong v St Kilda
2025-07-20 13:10:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

17.11

113

12.10

82

Geelong won by 31 points

IN

De Koning

Stengle

Henry

Stevens

OUT

IN

Byrnes

Wilson

Butler

Garcia

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		83%	34 points	✓	2.6	0.73
Aggregate		82%	32 points	✓	1.1	0.71
		92%	42 points	✓	11.5	0.88
		88%	36 points	✓	4.8	0.81
		88%	42 points	✓	11.1	0.81
Punters		87%	35 points	✓	3.9	0.79
		86%	35 points	✓	4.0	0.78
		85%	36 points	✓	4.6	0.77
		85%	35 points	✓	3.7	0.77
		85%	33 points	✓	2.2	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	6.0	0.77
		85%	36 points	✓	4.9	0.76
		85%	36 points	✓	5.2	0.76
		84%	36 points	✓	4.5	0.75
		83%	32 points	✓	0.5	0.72
		82%	34 points	✓	2.9	0.72
		82%	36 points	✓	5.0	0.71
		82%	33 points	✓	2.3	0.71
		81%	33 points	✓	2.0	0.70
		80%	36 points	✓	4.7	0.69
		80%	32 points	✓	0.9	0.68
		80%	34 points	✓	2.8	0.68
		79%	17 points	✓	13.8	0.66
		77%	24 points	✓	7.0	0.62
		75%	18 points	✓	13.0	0.58
		72%	29 points	✓	2.0	0.53
		70%	25 points	✓	6.0	0.49
		65%	15 points	✓	16.1	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.