Geelong v Hawthorn

M.C.G.
12.14
86
11.13
79

Geelong won by 7 points

IN
Stewart
Mullin
OUT
IN
Macdonald
Scrimshaw
Ginnivan
Maginness
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Geelong
56% 5 points 1.50.17
Aggregate
Geelong
52% 2 points 5.00.05
AFL Lab
Geelong
65% 13 points 6.00.37
Massey Ratings
Geelong
65% 12 points 4.50.37
The Footycast
Geelong
61% 11 points 3.60.29
Drop Kick Data
Geelong
57% 6 points 0.70.19
Squiggle
Geelong
57% 7 points 0.10.19
Graft
Geelong
55% 7 points 0.00.14
PlusSixOne
Geelong
54% 4 points 3.00.11
Matter of Stats
Geelong
54% 3 points 3.90.10
Don't Blame the Data
Geelong
53% 3 points 3.60.10
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
53% 3 points 4.30.09
Informed Stats
Geelong
53% 4 points 3.00.08
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
53% 2 points 5.40.07
Live Ladders
Geelong
52% 1 point 6.00.05
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
51% 1 point 6.00.04
Cheap Stats
Geelong
51% 3 points 4.00.03
footycharts
Geelong
50% 2 points 5.00.00
Punters
Hawthorn
50% 2 points 8.5-0.00
Wheelo Ratings
Hawthorn
50% 0 points 7.1-0.00
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
50% 0 points 7.3-0.01
Hyperion
Hawthorn
51% 3 points 10.0-0.04
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
52% 1 point 8.0-0.06
Stattraction
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 11.1-0.12
Winnable
Hawthorn
54% 3 points 10.2-0.13
The Cruncher
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 11.7-0.19
What Snoo Thinks
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 13.0-0.23
The Wooden Finger
Hawthorn
58% 6 points 13.0-0.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 6, 2025