North Melbourne v Carlton @ Docklands

11.5

24.9

153

Carlton won by 82 points

Wardlaw

Hardeman

OUT

Young

Hollands

Acres

McKay

Kemp

Docherty

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	71%	21 points	✓	61.0	0.51
Aggregate	72%	22 points	✓	60.1	0.53
	87%	39 points	✓	43.0	0.80
	84%	35 points	✓	47.0	0.75
	80%	32 points	✓	50.4	0.67
	78%	29 points	✓	53.5	0.65
	78%	25 points	✓	57.2	0.64
	78%	28 points	✓	53.9	0.64
	77%	26 points	✓	55.8	0.63
	77%	28 points	✓	54.3	0.62
	76%	21 points	✓	60.6	0.59
	75%	24 points	✓	57.8	0.59
	75%	30 points	✓	52.0	0.59
	73%	31 points	✓	51.0	0.55
	73%	21 points	✓	61.4	0.55
	73%	24 points	✓	57.7	0.54
	72%	19 points	✓	63.0	0.52
	71%	19 points	✓	63.5	0.50
	70%	20 points	✓	62.0	0.49
	70%	18 points	✓	63.8	0.49
	70%	18 points	✓	63.7	0.49
	69%	20 points	✓	62.0	0.46
	69%	14 points	✓	67.6	0.46
Punters	67%	17 points	✓	64.7	0.43
	62%	11 points	✓	70.7	0.30
	61%	7 points	✓	75.0	0.30
	58%	8 points	✓	74.2	0.21
	56%	6 points	✓	76.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.