Melbourne v Fremantle
M.C.G.
16.11
107
14.13
97
Melbourne won by 10 points
IN
Fullarton
Tholstrup
Howes
Turner
May
Fritsch
van Rooyen
Henderson
OUT
IN
McDonald
Aish
Chapman
Voss
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.45 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.47 |
|
|
81% | 34 points | ✗ | 44.3 | -1.42 |
|
|
77% | 22 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -1.12 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.94 |
|
Punters
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.94 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.83 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.82 |
|
|
69% | 21 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.35 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.1 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.9 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 19 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.05 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.