Western Bulldogs v St Kilda
2025-04-20 19:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

18.19

127

8.8

56

Western Bulldogs won by 71 points

IN

Bontempelli

Harmes

OUT

IN

Schoenmaker

Henry

Hastie

Travaglia

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	9 points	✓	62.2	0.28
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	61.4	0.28
		72%	17 points	✓	53.9	0.52
		69%	15 points	✓	56.3	0.47
		67%	17 points	✓	54.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	57.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	57.2	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	59.0	0.35
		63%	14 points	✓	57.2	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	58.1	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	60.3	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	60.0	0.33
Punters		62%	10 points	✓	60.7	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	60.0	0.31
		62%	12 points	✓	59.0	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	59.7	0.30
		60%	10 points	✓	61.3	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	63.5	0.24
		58%	12 points	✓	59.0	0.21
		58%	8 points	✓	63.0	0.21
		58%	1 point	✓	70.0	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	65.5	0.20
		56%	7 points	✓	64.0	0.17
		55%	5 points	✓	66.1	0.13
		54%	4 points	✓	67.0	0.12
		54%	6 points	✓	65.0	0.11
		54%	1 point	✓	70.0	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	69.3	0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.