Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
Gabba
7.11
53
16.9
105
Collingwood won by 52 points
IN
Marshall
Tunstill
Reville
McLachlan
OUT
IN
Cox
De Goey
Membrey
Sullivan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 61.7 | -0.39 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 63.1 | -0.41 |
|
|
74% | 27 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 68.2 | -0.77 |
|
|
69% | 5 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 70.9 | -0.70 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 65.5 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 65.8 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 64.8 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 64.1 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 63.9 | -0.45 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 62.9 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 65.2 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 62.1 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 63.2 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 59.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 58.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 59.5 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 58.8 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 57.8 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 59.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.