Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval

7.10
52

4.10
34
Adelaide won by 18 points
IN
Berry
Murray
Peatling
Sholl
OUT
IN
O'Halloran
Hogan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
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55% | 3 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.13 |
Aggregate
|
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56% | 5 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.16 |
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71% | 16 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.50 |
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66% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.39 |
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65% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.39 |
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65% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.37 |
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63% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.2 | 0.34 |
Punters
|
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62% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.31 |
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61% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.29 |
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60% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.26 |
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60% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.25 |
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59% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.7 | 0.24 |
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59% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.23 |
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59% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.23 |
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57% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.18 |
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56% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.15 |
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56% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.15 |
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55% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.14 |
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54% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.12 |
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53% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.09 |
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51% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.03 |
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50% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.00 |
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51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.01 |
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51% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.02 |
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51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.03 |
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53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.09 |
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54% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.12 |
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63% | 12 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.44 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.