Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
2025-04-19 16:15:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

7.10

52

4.10

34

Adelaide won by 18 points

IN

Berry

Murray

Peatling

Sholl

OUT

IN

O'Halloran

Hogan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		55%	3 points	✓	14.6	0.13
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	12.9	0.16
		71%	16 points	✓	1.9	0.50
		66%	13 points	✓	4.7	0.39
		65%	10 points	✓	7.5	0.39
		65%	11 points	✓	6.7	0.37
		63%	12 points	✓	6.2	0.34
Punters		62%	10 points	✓	8.3	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	8.5	0.29
		60%	8 points	✓	9.5	0.26
		60%	9 points	✓	8.6	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	9.7	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	9.2	0.23
		59%	8 points	✓	9.6	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	12.0	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	12.4	0.15
		56%	5 points	✓	13.0	0.15
		55%	5 points	✓	13.0	0.14
		54%	6 points	✓	12.0	0.12
		53%	2 points	✓	15.5	0.09
		51%	3 points	✓	15.0	0.03
		50%	1 point	✓	17.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	18.5	-0.01
		51%	9 points	✗	27.0	-0.02
		51%	1 point	✗	18.9	-0.03
		53%	3 points	✗	21.0	-0.09
		54%	3 points	✗	21.0	-0.12
		63%	12 points	✗	30.0	-0.44

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.