West Coast v Essendon
2025-04-18 18:10:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

11.9

75

11.11

77

Essendon won by 2 points

IN

Hewett

Flynn

McGovern

Kelly

Williams

Allen

Hall

Brock

OUT

IN

Wright

Bryan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	21 points	✓	19.2	0.50
Aggregate		70%	20 points	✓	18.1	0.49
		89%	40 points	✓	38.0	0.83
		84%	38 points	✓	36.0	0.74
		77%	27 points	✓	25.2	0.63
		77%	28 points	✓	26.1	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	23.8	0.62
		75%	27 points	✓	25.0	0.58
		75%	20 points	✓	17.6	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	20.5	0.56
		73%	25 points	✓	23.0	0.55
Punters		72%	22 points	✓	20.0	0.53
		71%	18 points	✓	15.9	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	15.6	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	16.4	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	16.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	17.0	0.49
		70%	21 points	✓	18.9	0.48
		69%	25 points	✓	23.0	0.47
		68%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	12.0	0.44
		68%	17 points	✓	14.7	0.43
		64%	12 points	✓	10.3	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	10.3	0.33
		63%	21 points	✓	19.0	0.32
		63%	8 points	✓	6.5	0.32
		61%	9 points	✓	7.4	0.29
		52%	2 points	✓	0.2	0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.