Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G.
11.8
74
11.11
77
Greater Western Sydney won by 3 points
IN
Henderson
Jefferson
Johnson
Lindsay
Sharp
Windsor
Sparrow
Chandler
Lever
Oliver
Petracca
Neal-Bullen
Pickett
McVee
Melksham
Tomlinson
Billings
Turner
Woewodin
Tholstrup
Laurie
Hore
OUT
IN
Wehr
Green
Briggs
Gruzewski
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.11 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.3 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.28 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.23 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.9 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.