Richmond v Carlton
M.C.G.
13.4
82
9.15
69
Richmond won by 13 points
IN
Lalor
Trainor
Armstrong
Blight
Green
Lynch
Trezise
Brown
Dow
Bolton
Rioli
Baker
Prestia
Balta
Graham
Pickett
Ralphsmith
Koschitzke
OUT
IN
Camporeale
Lord
Evans
Silvagni
Williams
Haynes
Fogarty
Cottrell
Newman
Pittonet
Kennedy
Hollands
Docherty
Young
Durdin
Fantasia
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
75% | 27 points | ✗ | 40.4 | -1.02 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
78% | 29 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.19 |
|
|
92% | 50 points | ✗ | 62.8 | -2.60 |
|
Punters
|
|
92% | 48 points | ✗ | 61.3 | -2.57 |
|
|
90% | 41 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -2.32 |
|
|
89% | 38 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -2.19 |
|
|
89% | 36 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -2.13 |
|
|
87% | 41 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -1.94 |
|
|
86% | 40 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -1.84 |
|
|
85% | 34 points | ✗ | 47.2 | -1.74 |
|
|
84% | 35 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -1.60 |
|
|
80% | 42 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -1.35 |
|
|
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 43.3 | -1.34 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.22 |
|
|
78% | 20 points | ✗ | 33.3 | -1.20 |
|
|
76% | 29 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -1.07 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.02 |
|
|
75% | 31 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.01 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 36.1 | -0.97 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 34.6 | -0.88 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 36.7 | -0.85 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.76 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -0.49 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.