Geelong v Fremantle
Kardinia Park

23.9
147

10.9
69
Geelong won by 78 points
IN
O'Sullivan
Knevitt
Smith
O'Connor
De Koning
Duncan
Kolodjashnij
Stanley
Mannagh
Bews
OUT
IN
Reid
Worner
Wagner
Banfield
Pearce
Treacy
Young
Fyfe
Walters
Sturt
Chapman
Voss
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
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68% | 18 points | ✓ | 60.2 | 0.45 |
Aggregate
|
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68% | 17 points | ✓ | 61.3 | 0.43 |
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79% | 26 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.65 |
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76% | 22 points | ✓ | 56.3 | 0.61 |
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76% | 38 points | ✓ | 39.7 | 0.61 |
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75% | 24 points | ✓ | 53.5 | 0.58 |
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74% | 22 points | ✓ | 56.2 | 0.56 |
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72% | 19 points | ✓ | 59.2 | 0.53 |
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72% | 21 points | ✓ | 57.1 | 0.52 |
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71% | 13 points | ✓ | 64.8 | 0.50 |
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70% | 19 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.49 |
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70% | 18 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.48 |
Punters
|
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69% | 16 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.46 |
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69% | 17 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.46 |
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68% | 17 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.45 |
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68% | 15 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.44 |
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68% | 19 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.44 |
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67% | 10 points | ✓ | 68.0 | 0.42 |
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66% | 14 points | ✓ | 64.5 | 0.39 |
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65% | 16 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.39 |
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65% | 16 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.38 |
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63% | 17 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.33 |
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62% | 12 points | ✓ | 65.7 | 0.31 |
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61% | 12 points | ✓ | 66.5 | 0.29 |
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61% | 14 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.28 |
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60% | 9 points | ✓ | 68.5 | 0.26 |
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57% | 5 points | ✓ | 72.9 | 0.18 |
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53% | 3 points | ✓ | 74.8 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.