Sydney v Brisbane Lions
S.C.G.
12.10
82
12.14
86
Brisbane Lions won by 4 points
IN
Hanily
Hamling
Adams
Sheldrick
OUT
IN
Ashcroft
Wilmot
McInerney
Daniher
Cameron
McKenna
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.25 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.19 |
|
|
74% | 27 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.57 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.42 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.8 | 0.41 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.38 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.