Adelaide v St Kilda
2025-03-16 12:35:00 +11:00
Adelaide Oval

21.9

135

10.12

72

Adelaide won by 63 points

IN

Curtin

Peatling

Milera

Keane

Cumming

Rachele

Neal-Bullen

Rankine

Jones

Murphy

Berry

Nankervis

Borlase

Dowling

Taylor

Bond

OUT

IN

Boyd

Hall

O'Connell

Hastie

Schoenmaker

Wilson

Caminiti

Cordy

Windhager

Macrae

Owens

Battle

Butler

Howard

Clark

Stocker

Phillipou

Sharman

Membrey

Dow

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	17 points	✓	46.4	0.41
Aggregate		66%	16 points	✓	47.5	0.40
		84%	29 points	✓	34.5	0.75
		82%	27 points	✓	36.0	0.71
		80%	30 points	✓	32.6	0.67
		78%	26 points	✓	37.4	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	37.5	0.62
Punters		76%	22 points	✓	41.2	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	38.0	0.58
		72%	21 points	✓	41.8	0.52
		70%	22 points	✓	41.0	0.49
		68%	17 points	✓	46.0	0.44
		67%	21 points	✓	42.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	48.1	0.41
		66%	20 points	✓	43.0	0.41
		65%	11 points	✓	52.0	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	49.3	0.38
		62%	12 points	✓	51.1	0.31
		60%	14 points	✓	49.4	0.26
		60%	10 points	✓	53.0	0.26
		60%	10 points	✓	53.0	0.26
		58%	8 points	✓	55.2	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	57.5	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	57.2	0.20
		56%	8 points	✓	55.0	0.17
		54%	4 points	✓	59.0	0.12
		52%	0 points	✓	62.8	0.05
		52%	2 points	✓	61.0	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.