Hawthorn v Essendon

M.C.G.
17.9
111
12.13
85

Hawthorn won by 26 points

IN
Ward
Worpel
OUT
IN
Reid
Kako
Prior
Roberts
Tsatas
Duursma
Ridley
Heppell
Parish
Stringer
Gresham
Laverde
Guelfi
Kelly
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Hawthorn
77% 29 points 2.60.62
Aggregate
Hawthorn
76% 26 points 0.50.60
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
90% 53 points 27.00.85
The Wooden Finger
Hawthorn
89% 45 points 19.00.83
Informed Stats
Hawthorn
87% 37 points 11.00.80
Wheelo Ratings
Hawthorn
86% 35 points 9.10.78
AFL Scorigami
Hawthorn
85% 27 points 0.90.77
Winnable
Hawthorn
85% 32 points 5.70.76
Squiggle
Hawthorn
83% 35 points 8.60.73
Glicko Ratings
Hawthorn
78% 27 points 0.90.64
The Cruncher
Hawthorn
78% 23 points 3.10.64
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
78% 28 points 1.50.63
Hyperion
Hawthorn
77% 24 points 2.00.63
Punters
Hawthorn
77% 23 points 2.90.62
Drop Kick Data
Hawthorn
77% 26 points 0.30.62
Don't Blame the Data
Hawthorn
74% 26 points 0.10.57
The Footycast
Hawthorn
74% 26 points 0.10.56
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
73% 22 points 3.70.54
footycharts
Hawthorn
71% 21 points 5.20.51
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
71% 20 points 6.50.50
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
71% 18 points 8.00.50
What Snoo Thinks
Hawthorn
70% 16 points 9.70.48
Elo Predicts!
Hawthorn
69% 17 points 9.00.46
Stattraction
Hawthorn
68% 13 points 12.60.45
Cheap Stats
Hawthorn
66% 21 points 5.00.40
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
65% 20 points 5.70.39
Graft
Hawthorn
65% 19 points 7.00.37
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
60% 11 points 15.40.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2025