Hawthorn v Essendon
M.C.G.

17.9
111

12.13
85
Hawthorn won by 26 points
IN
Ward
Worpel
OUT
IN
Reid
Kako
Prior
Roberts
Tsatas
Duursma
Ridley
Heppell
Parish
Stringer
Gresham
Laverde
Guelfi
Kelly
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
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77% | 29 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.62 |
Aggregate
|
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76% | 26 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.60 |
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90% | 53 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.85 |
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89% | 45 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.83 |
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87% | 37 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.80 |
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86% | 35 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.78 |
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85% | 27 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.77 |
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85% | 32 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.76 |
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83% | 35 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.73 |
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78% | 27 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.64 |
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78% | 23 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.64 |
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78% | 28 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.63 |
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77% | 24 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.63 |
Punters
|
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77% | 23 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.62 |
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77% | 26 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.62 |
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74% | 26 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.57 |
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74% | 26 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.56 |
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73% | 22 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.54 |
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71% | 21 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.51 |
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71% | 20 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.50 |
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71% | 18 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.50 |
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70% | 16 points | ✓ | 9.7 | 0.48 |
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69% | 17 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.46 |
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68% | 13 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.45 |
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66% | 21 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.40 |
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65% | 20 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.39 |
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65% | 19 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.37 |
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60% | 11 points | ✓ | 15.4 | 0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.