Collingwood v Port Adelaide
2025-03-15 19:35:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

21.10

136

6.9

45

Collingwood won by 91 points

IN

Long

Sullivan

Houston

Pendlebury

Hoskin-Elliott

Allan

OUT

IN

Berry

Richards

Powell-Pepper

Finlayson

Lukosius

Farrell

Butters

Burton

Dixon

Zerk-Thatcher

Ratugolea

Evans

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		57%	7 points	✓	84.2	0.19
Aggregate		57%	7 points	✓	84.4	0.20
		70%	16 points	✓	75.3	0.49
		64%	13 points	✓	78.1	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	79.0	0.35
		64%	9 points	✓	81.8	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	80.4	0.32
Punters		62%	9 points	✓	81.6	0.32
		61%	11 points	✓	80.0	0.29
		59%	12 points	✓	79.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	82.3	0.24
		59%	6 points	✓	84.6	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	84.5	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	84.5	0.20
		57%	11 points	✓	80.0	0.20
		56%	6 points	✓	85.4	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	86.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	86.5	0.15
		55%	5 points	✓	85.8	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	86.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	86.5	0.12
		54%	5 points	✓	86.0	0.10
		54%	4 points	✓	87.2	0.10
		53%	4 points	✓	86.9	0.09
		52%	1 point	✓	90.0	0.05
		50%	1 point	✓	90.0	0.00
		51%	2 points	✗	93.0	-0.03
		53%	4 points	✗	94.7	-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.