Port Adelaide v Sydney
Adelaide Oval
22.16
148
5.6
36
Port Adelaide won by 112 points
IN
Ladhams
Francis
McLean
Rowbottom
McDonald
Campbell
Amartey
Melican
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 115.0 | -0.09 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 114.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
69% | 10 points | ✗ | 122.4 | -0.70 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 128.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 121.5 | -0.42 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 121.5 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 123.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 123.6 | -0.37 |
|
|
59% | 1 point | ✗ | 113.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 123.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 117.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 115.8 | -0.16 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 114.7 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 114.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 114.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 116.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 113.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 113.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 113.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 111.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 111.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 111.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 108.3 | 0.06 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 110.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 110.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 109.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 109.2 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 109.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 109.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 105.9 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.