Western Bulldogs v Melbourne
2024-08-02 19:15:00 +10:00
Docklands

15.20

110

9.5

59

Western Bulldogs won by 51 points

IN

Tholstrup

Howes

Woewodin

Sparrow

Fritsch

Windsor

Billings

Laurie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		74%	24 points	✓	26.7	0.57
Aggregate		72%	21 points	✓	29.9	0.53
		86%	35 points	✓	16.5	0.78
		84%	33 points	✓	18.0	0.75
		79%	21 points	✓	29.9	0.67
		79%	29 points	✓	21.9	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	22.6	0.66
		78%	25 points	✓	26.3	0.64
		76%	25 points	✓	26.4	0.61
		76%	24 points	✓	27.0	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	27.4	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	26.4	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	29.0	0.58
		75%	23 points	✓	27.9	0.58
Punters		75%	22 points	✓	28.8	0.58
		75%	19 points	✓	32.5	0.58
		73%	21 points	✓	30.0	0.56
		73%	23 points	✓	28.0	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	30.8	0.55
		72%	24 points	✓	26.9	0.53
		69%	16 points	✓	34.9	0.47
		68%	19 points	✓	32.0	0.44
		68%	22 points	✓	29.0	0.43
		67%	22 points	✓	29.0	0.42
		63%	15 points	✓	35.9	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	41.0	0.34
		62%	8 points	✓	43.0	0.30
		57%	7 points	✓	44.2	0.18
		56%	8 points	✓	43.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.