St Kilda v Brisbane Lions
2024-08-04 16:40:00 +10:00
Docklands

5.9

39

19.10

124

Brisbane Lions won by 85 points

IN

Dow

Bonner

Phillipou

Clark

Byrnes

Garcia

OUT

IN

Reville

Andrews

Hipwood

McKenna

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	7 points	✓	77.5	0.22
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	76.7	0.24
		71%	22 points	✓	62.8	0.50
		69%	18 points	✓	67.2	0.46
		67%	17 points	✓	68.0	0.42
		64%	15 points	✓	70.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	74.2	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	75.0	0.33
		63%	9 points	✓	75.7	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	75.0	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	74.3	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	75.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	75.1	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	74.2	0.28
		61%	10 points	✓	75.4	0.28
		61%	8 points	✓	77.5	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	77.2	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	76.3	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	76.9	0.26
Punters		59%	8 points	✓	77.5	0.23
		56%	6 points	✓	79.5	0.17
		56%	8 points	✓	77.0	0.16
		54%	4 points	✓	80.7	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	81.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	82.0	0.09
		53%	3 points	✓	82.3	0.09
		52%	2 points	✓	83.0	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	84.2	0.03
		50%	0 points	✗	85.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	85.5	-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.