Geelong v Adelaide
2024-08-03 16:35:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

13.12

90

13.7

85

Geelong won by 5 points

IN

Stanley

Tuohy

Bowes

Atkins

Duncan

Rohan

Mannagh

Clohesy

OUT

IN

Murray

Worrell

Crouch

Dawson

Nankervis

Cook

Borlase

Himmelberg

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	19 points	✓	14.4	0.48
Aggregate		69%	18 points	✓	12.7	0.46
		76%	23 points	✓	17.7	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	19.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	16.8	0.56
		74%	19 points	✓	13.6	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	16.3	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	16.1	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	15.9	0.53
Punters		72%	18 points	✓	13.1	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	14.9	0.52
		71%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	11.5	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	13.5	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	13.4	0.47
		69%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.47
		69%	12 points	✓	7.2	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	10.3	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.44
		68%	19 points	✓	13.5	0.43
		67%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	9.2	0.40
		66%	21 points	✓	16.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	9.0	0.39
		64%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.36
		64%	18 points	✓	13.0	0.35
		63%	13 points	✓	8.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	8.2	0.33
		61%	10 points	✓	4.6	0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.