Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
Manuka Oval
12.12
84
12.10
82
Greater Western Sydney won by 2 points
IN
Gruzewski
Ash
Himmelberg
Riccardi
OUT
IN
Gunston
Maginness
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.4 | -0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.03 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.46 |
|
|
66% | 21 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
66% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.39 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.8 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.9 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.9 | -0.14 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.1 | -0.28 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.37 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
64% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.47 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.