North Melbourne v Richmond
Docklands
14.6
90
10.17
77
North Melbourne won by 13 points
IN
Hansen Jr
Pink
McKercher
Ford
Wardlaw
Shiels
Logue
Duursma
OUT
IN
Brown
Martin
Nankervis
Dow
Ryan
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.25 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.21 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.70 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.9 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.18 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.07 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
59% | 5 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.