Essendon v Fremantle

M.C.G.
13.12
90
14.5
89

Essendon won by 1 point

IN
Roberts
Davey Jnr
Bryan
Kelly
Duursma
Heppell
Ridley
Perkins
Wright
Caddy
OUT
IN
Erasmus
Fyfe
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Fremantle
58% 7 points 8.3-0.24
Aggregate
Fremantle
59% 8 points 8.6-0.27
What Snoo Thinks
Fremantle
71% 18 points 19.1-0.81
Informed Stats
Fremantle
69% 19 points 20.0-0.69
Stattraction
Fremantle
67% 7 points 7.8-0.60
The Cruncher
Fremantle
66% 12 points 13.0-0.54
Cheap Stats
Fremantle
65% 15 points 16.0-0.51
Massey Ratings
Fremantle
65% 12 points 12.5-0.49
Squiggle
Fremantle
64% 13 points 13.8-0.46
The Wooden Finger
Fremantle
63% 11 points 12.0-0.43
AFL Scorigami
Fremantle
62% 8 points 9.0-0.41
footycharts
Fremantle
62% 12 points 12.5-0.39
The Footycast
Fremantle
60% 10 points 10.7-0.31
Elo Predicts!
Fremantle
59% 8 points 9.0-0.29
Glicko Ratings
Fremantle
59% 7 points 8.4-0.27
Winnable
Fremantle
58% 7 points 8.1-0.26
Graft
Fremantle
57% 10 points 11.0-0.23
Punters
Fremantle
57% 7 points 8.1-0.22
Wheelo Ratings
Fremantle
57% 6 points 6.7-0.22
Matter of Stats
Fremantle
57% 6 points 6.9-0.21
ZaphBot
Fremantle
55% 5 points 6.0-0.15
Data by Josh
Fremantle
55% 4 points 5.0-0.15
FMI
Fremantle
55% 7 points 8.0-0.15
Don't Blame the Data
Fremantle
53% 4 points 5.2-0.09
Hyperion
Fremantle
53% 2 points 3.0-0.09
AFLalytics
Fremantle
53% 2 points 3.3-0.08
Drop Kick Data
Fremantle
52% 2 points 2.7-0.06
AFL Lab
Fremantle
51% 1 point 1.6-0.02
PlusSixOne
Essendon
51% 1 point 0.30.02
Live Ladders
Essendon
52% 1 point 0.00.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 21, 2024