Essendon v Fremantle
M.C.G.
13.12
90
14.5
89
Essendon won by 1 point
IN
Roberts
Davey Jnr
Bryan
Kelly
Duursma
Heppell
Ridley
Perkins
Wright
Caddy
OUT
IN
Erasmus
Fyfe
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.3 | -0.24 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.27 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.1 | -0.81 |
|
|
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
67% | 7 points | ✗ | 7.8 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 13.8 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 10.7 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.23 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.2 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.7 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 1.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.