Fremantle v Melbourne
2024-07-21 15:20:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

17.14

116

10.6

66

Fremantle won by 50 points

IN

Walker

Aish

Pearce

Darcy

Johnson

Wagner

Draper

Voss

OUT

IN

Billings

Woewodin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	21 points	✓	29.4	0.50
Aggregate		67%	16 points	✓	34.0	0.43
		82%	30 points	✓	20.0	0.71
		78%	25 points	✓	24.8	0.65
		77%	24 points	✓	26.1	0.63
		77%	24 points	✓	26.1	0.62
		76%	20 points	✓	29.8	0.60
Punters		73%	21 points	✓	29.5	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	28.0	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	29.4	0.54
		72%	22 points	✓	28.4	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	29.0	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	29.5	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	30.1	0.52
		70%	13 points	✓	37.0	0.49
		68%	16 points	✓	33.7	0.45
		66%	17 points	✓	33.1	0.40
		66%	19 points	✓	31.0	0.39
		64%	19 points	✓	31.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	39.0	0.35
		64%	11 points	✓	39.2	0.35
		64%	8 points	✓	42.5	0.34
		61%	10 points	✓	40.0	0.29
		60%	10 points	✓	40.0	0.26
		60%	9 points	✓	41.2	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	41.0	0.24
		57%	7 points	✓	42.6	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	44.6	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	41.0	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	45.0	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.