Brisbane Lions v Sydney
Gabba
11.13
79
11.11
77
Brisbane Lions won by 2 points
IN
Smith
Starcevich
Fletcher
McKenna
Morris
Brain
OUT
IN
Warner
Cunningham
Adams
Heeney
Rowbottom
McInerney
Mills
McLean
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.06 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.2 | 0.02 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.42 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.3 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.22 |
|
|
60% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.8 | -0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.