Port Adelaide v Richmond
2024-07-20 19:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

16.20

116

11.9

75

Port Adelaide won by 41 points

IN

Georgiades

Williams

Ratugolea

Rioli

Farrell

Marshall

Jones

Evans

OUT

IN

Smith

Campbell

Dow

Sonsie

Vlastuin

Taranto

Graham

Brown

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		86%	41 points	✓	0.4	0.79
Aggregate		86%	38 points	✓	3.1	0.78
		95%	47 points	✓	6.0	0.93
Punters		92%	44 points	✓	3.2	0.88
		92%	46 points	✓	5.0	0.88
		92%	49 points	✓	7.5	0.87
		91%	44 points	✓	2.6	0.87
		91%	39 points	✓	1.5	0.86
		89%	47 points	✓	6.0	0.83
		89%	47 points	✓	6.2	0.83
		89%	35 points	✓	5.6	0.83
		88%	37 points	✓	3.6	0.81
		87%	42 points	✓	0.8	0.81
		87%	41 points	✓	0.0	0.80
		87%	37 points	✓	4.0	0.80
		86%	39 points	✓	2.1	0.79
		86%	35 points	✓	5.5	0.79
		86%	38 points	✓	3.0	0.78
		86%	39 points	✓	2.0	0.78
		85%	37 points	✓	4.2	0.76
		84%	36 points	✓	5.5	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	5.4	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	6.0	0.74
		83%	29 points	✓	12.5	0.72
		81%	31 points	✓	10.0	0.70
		80%	42 points	✓	1.0	0.69
		79%	20 points	✓	21.1	0.65
		78%	40 points	✓	1.0	0.65
		77%	31 points	✓	10.1	0.63
		69%	20 points	✓	21.3	0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.