Essendon v Adelaide
Docklands
17.11
113
17.13
115
Adelaide won by 2 points
IN
Menzie
Laverde
Goldstein
Heppell
Hind
Wright
OUT
IN
Nankervis
Walker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.39 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -1.03 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.7 | -0.69 |
|
Punters
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.67 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.56 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.5 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 12 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.09 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 0 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.