Hawthorn v Collingwood
M.C.G.

20.13
133

9.13
67
Hawthorn won by 66 points
IN
Maginness
Ginnivan
Breust
Macdonald
Mackenzie
Morrison
OUT
IN
Sullivan
Richards
McStay
Howe
Schultz
Markov
Frampton
Harrison
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
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50% | 0 points | ✓ | 65.9 | 0.00 |
Aggregate
|
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52% | 1 point | ✗ | 67.2 | -0.04 |
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66% | 7 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.55 |
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62% | 10 points | ✗ | 76.2 | -0.39 |
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60% | 13 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -0.33 |
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60% | 8 points | ✗ | 73.7 | -0.33 |
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58% | 6 points | ✗ | 72.2 | -0.25 |
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56% | 5 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.18 |
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56% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.4 | -0.18 |
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55% | 5 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.15 |
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54% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.12 |
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54% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.5 | -0.11 |
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54% | 5 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.10 |
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53% | 4 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.09 |
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52% | 2 points | ✗ | 67.9 | -0.06 |
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51% | 1 point | ✗ | 67.2 | -0.04 |
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51% | -3 points | ✗ | 63.3 | -0.02 |
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50% | 0 points | ✗ | 66.2 | -0.01 |
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50% | 2 points | ✗ | 68.0 | 0.00 |
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50% | 0 points | ✓ | 65.7 | 0.01 |
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51% | 1 point | ✓ | 65.5 | 0.01 |
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51% | 1 point | ✓ | 65.4 | 0.02 |
Punters
|
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52% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.2 | 0.05 |
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53% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.2 | 0.08 |
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53% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.09 |
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54% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.1 | 0.10 |
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54% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.11 |
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57% | 6 points | ✓ | 60.2 | 0.18 |
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59% | 5 points | ✓ | 60.8 | 0.23 |
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67% | 15 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.42 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.